Progress & Claims

Shared Sapience Claims

Explore published claims alongside their editorial assessments, supporting and complicating evidence, assumptions, and potential falsifiers.

Published claims (29)

• A century of change in a decade

  LDD-01 · Leaning supported · 403 supporting, 7 complicating

• A forecast for local and open intelligence

  AOF-03 · Too early · 16 supporting, 4 complicating

• A scenario for declining scarcity

  LDD-05 · Too early · 112 supporting, 57 complicating

• AI and the supply of research effort

  A030-04 · Too early · 78 supporting, 5 complicating

• AI capability moving onto local devices

  AOF-02 · Too early · 49 supporting, 6 complicating

• AI exposure across the labor market

  AC-02 · Leaning supported · 167 supporting, 16 complicating

• AI partnership and personal sovereignty

  YJOB-02 · Too early · 2 supporting, 0 complicating

• An industry forecast of AI cyber capability

  A030-05 · Too early · 24 supporting, 3 complicating

• Common AI standards and incumbent power

  A030-03 · Too early · 51 supporting, 5 complicating

• Complexity and disruption advancing together

  A030-07 · Too early · 28 supporting, 0 complicating

• Compounding intelligence and problem-solving

  LDD-02 · Too early · 73 supporting, 9 complicating

• Continuity across biological and digital cognition

  A028-05 · Too early · 1 supporting, 0 complicating

• Converging representations across AI systems

  A028-01 · Too early · 1 supporting, 2 complicating

• Cross-ideological coalitions in AI governance

  A030-01 · Too early · 16 supporting, 0 complicating

• Deliberate participation in emergence

  A028-03 · Too early · 0 supporting, 0 complicating

• Emergent capabilities and inherited structure

  A028-02 · Too early · 6 supporting, 2 complicating

• Extractive capitalism under pressure

  AC-01 · Leaning supported · 44 supporting, 16 complicating

• Fear narratives and the AI debate

  FEAR-02 · Leaning supported · 108 supporting, 7 complicating

• Institutions built on information scarcity

  LDD-03 · Leaning supported · 248 supporting, 8 complicating

• Intelligence and the enclosure of the commons

  YJOB-01 · Leaning supported · 106 supporting, 11 complicating

• Novel contexts and biological capabilities

  A028-04 · Too early · 0 supporting, 0 complicating

• Open collaboration and proprietary AI

  AOF-01 · Leaning supported · 140 supporting, 10 complicating

• Proprietary AI and the concentration of power

  AOF-04 · Leaning supported · 261 supporting, 40 complicating

• Scarcity, regulation and institutional resistance

  LDD-04 · Leaning supported · 246 supporting, 16 complicating

• Sovereignty and the commons after employment

  AC-03 · Too early · 9 supporting, 1 complicating

• The competition frame in AI policy

  A030-02 · Too early · 16 supporting, 0 complicating

• The Fourth Grand Emergence

  FEAR-01 · Too early · 6 supporting, 2 complicating

• The losses and gains of AI transformation

  A030-06 · Too early · 22 supporting, 0 complicating

• The possibilities of partnered intelligence

  FEAR-03 · Leaning supported · 21 supporting, 4 complicating